Sunday, December 6, 2009

NFL - Week 13 Picks

NFL Week 13 Picks


Den (-6.5) @ KC O/U 39

Denver had a long week to prepare for this abysmal Kansas City squad. I like Josh McDaniels against Jeff Haley in a match up of Super Bowl Offensive Coordinators. The funny thing about this game is that both coaches are trying to build their team around the defense. Pick: Den by 13 and UNDER

Oak (+15) @ Pit O/U 37

Ben R. is coming back this week and should be well rested after his controversial "concussion" in Week 11. Here's what kills me about the Steelers. For a team that's known for being so tough and physical, they always seem to have a key player sit out for their games against the Ravens. Jerome Bettis was notorious for it and recently it's been Ben R. and Willie Parker. I'm glad Hines Ward had the guts to call him out...even if it was in the wrong context. He's probably sick of playing the Ravens too, but he's always been out there. Pick: Pit by 10 and UNDER

Hou (-1.5) @ Jax O/U 47

Houston's season was lost in the last two weeks. It was a snowball effect that started with the loss of their All-Pro TE, Owen Daniels. I look for the snowball to continue to build up as Coach Gary Kubiak starts packing his bags. Pick: Jax by 7 and OVER

Ten (+7) @ Ind O/U 46

This game is so bizarre for so many different reasons. If this had been in Week 7, their records would've been like this: Ten (0-6) @ Ind (6-0). Now, Tennessee is riding a 5 game win streak into Indy, who looks poised to remain undefeated. Guess when Tennessee started winning again? When Jeff Fisher pulled his famous Peyton Manning jersey stunt at the Tony Dungy charity event....Pick: Ten by a late FG and UNDER

Phi (-5) @ Atl O/U 43.5

Matt Ryan's turf toe may scare everyone else, but I'm a firm believer in Atlanta's journeyman back-up quarterback, Chris Redmond. It reminds me of when Steve Buerlein guided the Cowboys to the playoffs in the mid-90's. I also think this McNabb/Vick charade in Philly has just about worn everyone out. During their games, Vick is seen pouting away on the bench as McNabb seems to pull out victories without much help on offense. Both guys will probably be out of Philly at the end of yet another disappointing season. Pick: Atl by 4 and OVER

Det (+13.5) @ Cin O/U 42

I don't even want to get into the reasons why this game is so uninteresting. Pick: Cin by 7 and UNDER

NO (-10) @ Wash O/U 47

This game will get national attention for about 5 minutes. Washington will appear to have everything going their way for three quarters of the game, and Drew Brees will lead his Saints team on a late game scoring barrage to pull off the victory and keep their undefeated season alive. Pick: NO by 7 and UNDER

TB (+4) @ Car O/U 40

I'll take the underdog against Carolina any day of the week. Pick: Car by 3 and OVER

Stl (+9) @ Chi O/U 41

Can Jay Cutler pull himself together for a solid game this week? For his sake, I sure hope so. He doesn't want Urlacher to call him any more names this week. Pick: Chi by 17 and OVER

NE (-5) @ Mia O/U 46

I love New England in this game. Every bounce would have to go Miami's way in order for them to win this game. The chances of that happening are about 5 to 1...this is the NFL you know. Pick: NE by 14 and OVER

SD (-14) @ Cle O/U 42.5

San Diego is just playing their butts off on offense this year. Cleveland would rather not even put their offense on the field. Pick: SD by 17 and OVER

SF (-1) @ Sea O/U 41/5

Not interested....too far away. Pick: SF by 3 and UNDER

Dal (-1) @NYG O/U 45.5

Tony Romo's accuracy will be the question in this game. It's already a huge concern for the Cowboys and playing in the swirling winds at Giants Stadium doesn't help the matter. If we can see Miles Austin's pearly whites at least 3 times, then it will be a good day. Pick: Dal by 4 and UNDER

Min (-1.5) @ Ari O/U 48.5

The Vikings roll against frat boy, Matt Leinart. Pick: Min by 20 and UNDER

Bal (+3.5) @ GB O/U 43

Is it cold in Green Bay this early in December? With all of this talk about global warming and the polar ice caps melting, I'm not so sure. If it's cold, I like the Ravens. If it's chilly, I like the Ravens. If it's abnormally warm, I like the Ravens. Pick: Ravens by 3 and OVER

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